Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.029938 0.032261 0.034690 0.037425 0.040420 0.043607 0.047258
2025-02-16 0.026050 0.029330 0.032945 0.037239 0.042218 0.047831 0.054669
2025-02-23 0.023350 0.027159 0.031524 0.036926 0.043470 0.051192 0.061067
2025-03-02 0.021486 0.025655 0.030585 0.036895 0.044822 0.054541 0.067497
2025-03-09 0.019772 0.024124 0.029408 0.036363 0.045374 0.056791 0.072568
2025-03-16 0.018267 0.022704 0.028215 0.035647 0.045539 0.058442 0.076857
2025-03-23 0.017138 0.021661 0.027395 0.035303 0.046095 0.060556 0.081832
2025-03-30 0.016159 0.020736 0.026648 0.034969 0.046588 0.062552 0.086717
2025-04-06 0.015162 0.019719 0.025703 0.034281 0.046507 0.063692 0.090386
2025-04-13 0.014648 0.019315 0.025547 0.034650 0.047906 0.066986 0.097447
2025-04-20 0.014055 0.018763 0.025147 0.034633 0.048720 0.069445 0.103386
2025-04-27 0.013656 0.018456 0.025063 0.035051 0.050178 0.072930 0.111169
2025-05-04 0.013037 0.017813 0.024476 0.034705 0.050473 0.074671 0.116318
2025-05-11 0.012521 0.017290 0.024034 0.034545 0.051032 0.076848 0.122348
2025-05-18 0.012009 0.016748 0.023535 0.034261 0.051369 0.078669 0.127893
2025-05-25 0.011605 0.016345 0.023217 0.034233 0.052097 0.081155 0.134776
2025-06-01 0.011108 0.015782 0.022630 0.033747 0.052042 0.082315 0.139354
2025-06-08 0.010602 0.015182 0.021960 0.033091 0.051662 0.082884 0.142867
2025-06-15 0.010213 0.014744 0.021519 0.032777 0.051827 0.084390 0.148236
2025-06-22 0.009850 0.014331 0.021098 0.032471 0.051982 0.085873 0.153664
2025-06-29 0.009433 0.013819 0.020499 0.031841 0.051535 0.086240 0.156913
2025-07-06 0.009260 0.013679 0.020483 0.032179 0.052797 0.089783 0.166810
2025-07-13 0.009017 0.013421 0.020265 0.032164 0.053423 0.092180 0.174559